The Black Swan. The Impact of Highly Improbable

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', "The Black Swan" shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.
Печатное издание имеет сертификаты качества и безопасности и соответствует нормам санитарной гигиены. Гарантийное обязательство также прилагается. Предлагается дисконтная накопительная система, а также корпоративная скидка 10% на заказ от 20 шт. На странице офомления заказа будет показана более исчерпывающая информация о стоимости доставки в ваш регион и о вашей личной скидке.

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